In recent years, global demands for polysilicon are rising rapidly. China has been severely short of polysilicon. Moreover, price keeps soaring. Investors and potential investors in Chinese polysilicon industry begin to focus on investment opportunities and risk aversion. This report reveals the development status, the trend and the investment opportunities of Chinese polysilicon market for investors through analyzing the demands, manufacturers and relevant industries of the international and domestic markets. Present situation of Chinese polysilicon market can be learned from this report to assist investors on investment opportunities and risk aversion.

 

PV cells only take up a small share in the global power field, but their importance cannot be ignored. At present, polysilicon and monocrystalline silicon dominate the market. Monocrystalline silicon made from silicon ingot scraps can be used for solar cells, because solar cells do not require the ultra purity like silicon wafers for semiconductor devices. Currently, the consumption of the semiconductor industry is about 2/3 of the polysilicon output. The left 1/3 ofpolysilicon output belongs to the consumption of solar cells.

 

There are several professional manufacturers of polysilicon and monocrystalline silicon wafers in the world. Their products are supplied to the semiconductor industry and the PV cell industry. As the semiconductor industry and the PV cell industry are both value-added industries, they do not need too much transportation cost. When these companies have surplus productivities or short productivities, as well as they expand their productivities or close devices in a certain region, competitors in other regions will usually have to reconsider their decisions.

 

Polysilicon is used as raw materials for two industries. First, it can be used for the semiconductor industry to make monocrystalline silicon wafers. Monocrystalline silicon wafers are made as substrates for semiconductor silicon chips. Therefore, silicon materials must meet the strict requirements of purity and adulteration standard. Second, polysilicon is used for the PV industry to make solar cell panels. The industry purchases non-special materials eliminated from the semiconductor industry.

 

The polysilicon prices maintained rising between 2006 and 2008, among which the highest price was over 4 times the cost. A great number of investors were attracted to invest in this industry. In recent years, the polysilicon industry has been a popular investment industry among many new energy industries. Many Chinese local governments made it the important investment-attracting field to draw polysilicon enterprises, regarded as polysilicon bases. It is regarded that the main polysilicon bases include Sichuan Leshan, Chongqing, Wuhan and Luoyang in Central and West China, and Xuzhou, Yangzhou and Lianyungang in East China.

 

Jiangsu plans to raise the polysilicon productivity to 30,000 tons in 2011, which is 6 times the constructed productivity of China in 2008 (5,000 tons).

 

It is estimated that Chinese domestic polysilicon productivity will exceed 60,000 tons in 2011 and exceed 100,000 tons in 2012.

 

At present, the total productivity of the global Top 7 polysilicon enterprises is 120,000 tons. The conservative estimation of the global polysilicon productivity in 2012 is 240,000 tons including Chinese productivity that will be operated in 2009 (nearly 20,000 tons) and Chinese scheduled productivity (100,000 tons at present).

 

The global output of cell modules was 5.5 GW in 2008. It is estimated that the output in 2012 will reach 12 GW. As productivity of current cell modules at 1/6 W/g, 72,000 tons of polysilicon will be demanded by 2012. Polysilicon overcapacity still exists in the world.

 

In 2008, over 10 large polysilicon projects were rebuilt in China.Many declared they were the largest in China.

 

Polysilicon projects demand for a large amount of investment. Generally, a polysilicon project with the productivity of 1,000 tons needs about RMB 1 billion (USD 143 million). It is estimated that the accumulative investment on Chinese polysilicon projects will exceed USD 14 billion in recent years.

 

At present, the production cost of main Chinese polysilicon enterprises is between 40 USD/kilo and 70 USD/kilo. The production cost of those enterprises without scaled production or closed-loop productionis about 100 USD/kilo. The global financial crisis has caused failures of some new projects as they had low return rates of assets. However, some strong enterprises have made full use of the opportunity to expand their production. It is estimated that the market concentration of Chinese polysilicon industry will be improved.

 

As the price of Chinese polysilicon was 450 USD/kilo in 2008, enterprises could achieve a sudden huge profit of over 300%. The investment return period of polysilicon projects is about 3 to 4 years. At present, the polysilicon price is between 70 USD/kilo and 80 USD/kilo. Therefore, manufacturing cost of Chinese enterprises equipped with the best technologies is also over 30 USD/kilo. The profits have been greatly reduced. However, enterprises can still gain considerable returns if they improve technologies and control costs. Those enterprises having long-term orders are not affected by the cash markets greatly. In the long run, the industry won't gain sudden huge profits.

 

Through this report, readers can acquire more information:

- Present situation of Chinese polysilicon industry

- Trend of Chinese polysilicon productivity

- Trend of Chinese polysilicon prices

- Main Chinese polysilicon manufacturers

- Chinese polysilicon investment projects

- Prediction on the development trend of Chinese polysilicon industry

 

Following persons are suggested to buy this report:

- Polysilicon manufacturers

- Polysilicon trading enterprises

- Polysilicon downstream enterprises

1.1. Concept

1.1.1 Definition

1.1.2 Category

1.1.3 Main Production Technologies

1.2 Analysis on the Global Polysilicon Market

1.2.1 Overview

1.2.2 Market Supply

1.2.3 Market Demand

1.2.4 Price Trend

1.2.5 Market Development Trend

 

2.1 Development Environment

2.1.1 Policy Environment

2.1.2 Economic Environment

2.1.3 Downstream Industries

2.2 Analysis on the Domestic Supply of Polysilicon

2.2.1 Analysis on the Productivity of Chinese Domestic Enterprises

2.2.2 Prediction on the Productivity of Chinese Domestic Enterprises

2.3 Analysis on the Domestic Demand of Polysilicon

2.3.1 Analysis on the Present Demand Situation

2.3.2 Analysis on the Demand Trend

2.4 Analysis on Domestic Prices of Polysilicon

2.4.1 Factors Affecting Prices

2.4.2 Price Trend

 

3.1 Hemlock

3.1.2 Productivity

3.1.3 Development Strategies

3.2 Tokuyama

3.2.2 Productivity

3.2.3 Development Strategies

3.3 Wacker

3.3.1 Overview

3.3.2 Productivity

3.3.3 Development Strategies

3.4 REC

3.5 MEMC

3.6 Mitsubishi

 

4.1 Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited

4.1.2 Productivity

4.1.3 Development Strategies

4.2 Changzhou EGing Photovoltaic Technology Co., Ltd

4.2.2 Productivity

4.2.3 Development Strategies

4.3 Chengdu Qingyang Electron Material Co., Ltd

4.3.1 Overview

4.3.2 Productivity

4.3.3 Development Strategies

4.4 Emei Semiconductor Material Factory

4.5 Konca Solar Cell (Wuxi) Co., Ltd

4.6 Hangzhou Haina Semiconductor Co., Ltd

4.7 Heibei Jinglong Group

4.8 Henan Xinxiang Huadan Electronic Co., Ltd

4.9 Huzhou Xinyuantai Microelectronics Co., Ltd (SEMC)

4.10 Jiaxing Advansil Electronic Co., Ltd

4.11 Jiangsu Shunda Semiconductor Develop Co., Ltd

4.12 LDK Solar Co., Ltd

4.13 Jiangyin Hairun Science & Technology Co., Ltd

4.14 Jinzhou Xinri Silicon Materials Co., Ltd

4.15 Jinggong P-D Shaoxing Solar Energy Technology Co., Ltd

4.16 Luoyang Single Crystal Silicon Co., Ltd

4.17 China Silicon Corporation Ltd

4.18 Inner Mongolia Sunnergy Co., Ltd

4.19 Nanjing Guosheng Electronic Co., Ltd

4.20 Eoplly New Energy Technology Co., Ltd

4.21 Zhejiang Sino-Italian Photovoltaic. Co., Ltd£¨SIPV£©

4.22 OL Electronics Co., Ltd

4.23 Shaanxi Mount. Hua Semiconductor Material Company

4.24 Shanghai Hejing Silicon Material Co., Ltd

4.25 Shanghai Jiujing Electronic Material, Inc

4.26 Shanghai Comtec Solar Co., Ltd

4.27 Shanghai Shenghe Thermo-magnetic Electronics Co., Ltd

4.28 Shanghai General Silicon Material Co., Ltd

4.29 Sichuan Chaolei Industry Co., Ltd. (CICO)

4.30 Sichuan Xinguang Silicon Science & Technology Co., Ltd

4.31 Tianjin Huanou Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd

4.32 Tianjin Huanou Semiconductor Material Co., Ltd

4.33 Changzhou Trina Solar Limited (TSL)

4.34 Wanxiang Silicon-peak Electronics Co., Ltd

4.35 Wuxi China Resources Huajing Micro Electronics Co., Ltd

4.36 Xi¡¯an Lijing Electronic Tech Co., Ltd

4.37 Xinjiang Sunoasis Co., Ltd

4.38 Zhuhai Nanker Silicona Co., Ltd

4.39 Xinri Silicon Electron Materials Co., Ltd

4.40 GRINM Semiconductor Materials Co., Ltd

4.41 Yunnan Aixin Silicon Technology Co., Ltd

4.42 Zhenjiang Huantai Silicon Science & Technology Co., Ltd

 

5.1 Analysis on Projects under Construction and Preparation

5.1.1 Analysis on Projects under Construction

5.1.2 Analysis on Projects under Preparation

5.2 Analysis on Investment Opportunities

5.2.1 Analysis on Market Opportunities

5.2.2 Attentions on Investment

5.3 Recommendations on the Polysilicon Industry Development

 

Chart Global Polysilicon Outputs, 2003-2010

Chart Global Polysilicon Demand Volumes, 2003-2010

Chart Output Proportions of Global Polysilicon Manufacturers, 2008

Chart Comparison on Various Polysilicon Production Techniques

Chart Operation Status of Hemlock, 2004-2007

Chart Operation Status of Wacker, 2004-2007

Chart Investment Status of Chinese Polysilicon

Chart Chinese Polysilicon Outputs, 2003-2010

Chart Chinese Polysilicon Demands, 2003-2010

Chart Chinese Polysilicon Price Trends, 2004-2008

Chart Productivities of Chinese Solar Cells, 2003-2008

Chart Analysis and Prediction on Outputs of Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited, 2003-2010

Chart Analysis and Prediction on Outputs of China Silicon Corporation Ltd., 2003-2010

Chart Analysis and Prediction on Outputs of Heibei Jinglong Group, 2003-2010