The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts View full size

The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts

SNS Research estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.

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Despite the lack of sufficient LTE coverage in parts of the world, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop 5G, the next evolution in mobile networks. 5G is expected to provide a single network environment to deliver not only existing mobile broadband and IoT services, but also new innovations such as self-driving cars, cloud robotics, 3D holographic telepresence and remote surgery with haptic feedback.

In fact, many mobile operators are betting on 5G to diversify their revenue streams, as conventional voice and data service ARPUs decline globally. For example, South Korea's KT has established a dedicated business unit for holograms, which it envisions to be a key source of revenue for its future 5G network.

At present, the 3GPP and other SDOs (Standards Development Organizations) are engaged in defining the first phase of 5G specifications. However, pre-standards 5G network rollouts are already underway, most notably in the United States and South Korea, as mobile operators rush to be the first to offer 5G services. SNS Research estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.

Although 2020 has conventionally been regarded as the headline date for 5G commercialization, the very first standardized deployments of the technology are expected to be commercialized as early as 2019 with the 3GPP's initial 5G specifications set to be implementation-ready by March 2018. Between 2019 and 2025, we expect the 5G network infrastructure market to aggressively grow a CAGR of nearly 70%, eventually accounting for $28 Billion in annual spending by the end of 2025. These infrastructure investments will be complemented by annual shipments of up to 520 Million 5G-capable devices.

The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, usage scenarios, vertical market applications, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, spectrum availability/allocation, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services.
The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report, as well as a 5G deployment tracking database covering over 60 global 5G trials, demos and commercial deployment commitments (as of Q1’2017).
Topics Covered
The report covers the following topics:
 - 5G NR (New Radio) and NextGen (Next Generation) system architecture
 - Market drivers and barriers to the adoption of 5G networks
 - 5G requirements, usage scenarios, vertical markets and applications
 - Key enabling technologies including air interface design, higher frequency radio access, advanced antenna systems, flexible duplex schemes, D2D (Device-to-Device) connectivity, dynamic spectrum access, self-backhauling and network slicing
 - Complementary concepts including NFV, SDN, hyperscale data centers, Cloud RAN, satellite communications and aerial networking platforms
 - Case studies and review of mobile operator 5G commitments
 - 5G standardization, development and research initiatives
 - Analysis of spectrum availability and allocation strategies for 5G networks
 - Competitive assessment of vendor strategies
 - Review of investments on R&D and pre-standards 5G networks
 - Standardized 5G infrastructure, user equipment and operator service forecasts till 2030

Forecast Segmentation
Market forecasts are provided for each of the following submarkets and their subcategories:

5G R&D Investments
 - New Air Interface & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
 - MIMO, Beamforming & Advanced Antenna Technologies
 - Spectrum Sharing, Aggregation & Interference Management
 - Virtualization & Cloud RAN
 - Network Slicing & Other Technologies

Pre-Standards 5G Network Investments
 - Pre-Standards Base Stations
 - Pre-Standards User Equipment
 - Transport Networking & Other Investments

Standardized 5G Infrastructure Investments
 - 5G NR (New Radio)
    Distributed Macrocell Base Stations
    Small Cells
    RRHs (Remote Radio Heads)
    C-RAN BBUs (Baseband Units)
 - NextGen (Next Generation) Core Network
 - Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking

Standardized 5G User Equipment Investments
 - Handsets
 - Tablets
 - Embedded IoT Modules
 - USB Dongles
 - Routers

5G Operator Services
 - Subscriptions
 - Service Revenue

Regional Segmentation
 - Asia Pacific
 - Eastern Europe
 - Latin & Central America
 - Middle East & Africa
 - North America
 - Western Europe

Key Questions Answered
The report provides answers to the following key questions:
 - How big is the opportunity for 5G network infrastructure, user equipment and operator services?
 - What trends, challenges and barriers will influence the development and adoption of 5G?
 - How will 5G drive the adoption of AR (Augmented Reality)/VR (Virtual Reality) applications such as 3D holographic telepresence and 360 degree streaming of live events?
 - How have advanced antenna and chip technologies made it possible to utilize millimeter wave spectrum for mobile communications in 5G networks?
 - How can non-orthogonal multiple access schemes such as RSMA (Resource Spread Multiple Access) enable 5G networks to support higher connection densities for Millions of IoT devices?
 - What will be the number of 5G subscriptions in 2019 and at what rate will it grow?
 - Which regions and countries will be the first to adopt 5G?
 - Which frequency bands are most likely to be utilized by 5G networks?
 - Who are the key 5G vendors and what are their strategies?
 - Will 5G networks rely on a disaggregated RAN architecture?
 - How will 5G impact the fiber industry?
 - Will satellite communications and aerial networking platforms play a wider role in 5G networks?

Key Findings
The report has the following key findings:
 - The Unites States and South Korea are spearheading early investments in pre-standards 5G trial networks, as mobile operators rush to be the first to offer 5G networks. SNS Research estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.
 - Following completion of the 3GPP's first phase of 5G specifications in March 2018, SNS Research expects that early adopters across the globe will simultaneously begin commercializing  5G services in 2019.
 - Between 2019 and 2025, we expect the 5G network infrastructure market to aggressively grow a CAGR of nearly 70%, eventually accounting for $28 Billion in annual spending by the end of 2025.
 - Although early 5G R&D investments have primarily targeted the radio access segment, network-slicing has recently emerged as necessary ""end-to-end"" capability to guarantee performance for different 5G applications which may have contrasting requirements.
 - In order to support diverse usage scenarios, 5G networks are expected to utilize a variety of frequency bands ranging from established sub-6 GHz cellular bands to millimeter wave spectrum.

Table of Contents

1Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1Executive Summary
1.2Topics Covered
1.3Forecast Segmentation
1.4Key Questions Answered
1.5Key Findings
1.7Target Audience
1.8Companies & Organizations Mentioned
2Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem
2.1What is 5G?
2.2High-Level Architecture of 5G Networks
2.2.15G NR (New Radio) Access Network
2.2.2NextGen (Next Generation) Core Network
2.35G Performance Requirements
2.3.1Data Volume
2.3.2Data Rate
2.3.4Spectral Efficiency
2.3.5Response Time & Latency
2.3.6Connection Density
2.3.9Availability & Coverage
2.3.10Energy Efficiency
2.45G Market Drivers
2.4.1Why the Need for a 5G Standard?
2.4.2Improving Spectrum Utilization
2.4.3Advances in Key Enabling Technologies
2.4.4Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services
2.4.5Extreme Device Densities with the IoT (Internet of Things)
2.4.6Moving Towards a Flatter Network Architecture
2.4.7Role of Vertical Sectors & the 4th Industrial Revolution
2.5Challenges & Inhibitors to 5G
2.5.1Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders
2.5.2Spectrum Regulation & Complexities
2.5.3Massive MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technology Issues
2.5.4Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure
2.5.5Complex Performance Requirements
2.5.6Energy Efficiency & Technology Scaling
3Chapter 3: 5G Usage Scenarios, Applications & Vertical Markets
3.1Usage Scenarios
3.1.1eMBB (Enhanced Mobile Broadband)
3.1.2URLCC (Ultra-Reliable and Low Latency Communications)
3.1.3mMTC (Massive Machine-Type Communications)
3.2Key Applications & Vertical Markets
3.2.1Consumer & Multi-Sector Applications (Fixed Wireless Access) & Media Delivery Imaging & Holograms Presence (Augmented Reality) (Augmented Reality) Gaming Internet Cloud Services Enabled Robotics Drones & Connected Homes for Smart Wearables Mobile Broadband & Other Applications
3.2.2Healthcare Enabling Telecare Surgery & Other Applications
3.2.3Automotive & Transportation Cars: Infotainment, Navigation & Other Services (Cellular Vehicle-to-Everything) Communications Driving Transportation for High-Speed Railway, Aerial & Maritime Environments
3.2.4Public Safety & Critical Communications (Mission-Critical Push-to-Talk) Secure Communications Awareness Relief & Other Applications
3.2.5Industrial Automation Enabled Smart Factories Vision the Factory Floor To the Cloud Assistance & Other Applications
3.2.6Other Vertical Sector Applications Management & Logistics, Utilities & Smart Grids & Sports, Advertising & Vending Cities & Other Sectors
4Chapter 4: Enabling Technologies for 5G
4.1Key Technologies & Concepts
4.1.1Flexible Air Interface Design Structure Numerologies Aspects
4.1.25G Waveform Candidates (OFDM with Cyclic Prefix) with WOLA (Weighted Overlap and Add) (Flexible CP-OFDM) (Filtered OFDM) (Block Filtered OFDM) (Filter Bank Multi-Carrier)/FB-OFDM (Filter Bank OFDM) (Universal Filtered Multi-Carrier)/UF-OFDM (Universal Filtered OFDM) (Generalized Frequency Division Multiplexing) (Single Carrier FDM)/DFT-S OFDM (Discrete Fourier Transform-Spread OFDM) SC-FDM/DFT-S OFDM (Single-Carrier Frequency Domain Equalization) Options
4.1.3Modulation Schemes Baseline for 5G NR Beyond 256-QAM: Higher Order Modulations Advanced Modulation Schemes
4.1.4Multiple Access Schemes (Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access) (Single-Carrier Frequency Division Multiple Access) (Spatial Division Multiple Access) Domain NOMA (Non-Orthogonal Multiple Access) Domain Techniques (Multi-User Shared Access) (Resource Spread Multiple Access) (Low Code Rate and Signature Based Shared Access) (Non-Orthogonal Coded Access) (Non-Orthogonal Coded Multiple Access) (Group Orthogonal Coded Access) & Interleaver-Based Techniques (Spare Code Multiple Access) (Pattern Division Multiple Access) (Interleaver Division Multiple Access) (Interleave-Grid Multiple Access) (Repetition Division Multiple Access) Methods
4.1.5Channel Coding Schemes (Low Density Parity Check) Coding Coding
4.1.6Duplex Schemes TDD for Higher Frequencies and FDP (Flexible Duplexing on Paired Spectrum) Duplex
4.1.7Centimeter & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
4.1.8Advanced Antenna Technologies MIMO & MU-MIMO Array Antennas & Beam Tracking
4.1.9D2D (Device-to-Device) Connectivity & Communication
4.1.10Self-Backhauling & Mesh Networking
4.1.11Spectrum Sharing & Aggregation Carrier Aggregation Schemes (Licensed Shared Access): Two-Tiered Sharing (Spectrum Access System): Three-Tiered Sharing (License Assisted Access): Licensed & Unlicensed Spectrum Aggregation Mechanisms for 60 GHz Unlicensed Spectrum Sharing Radio & Spectrum Sensing
4.1.12Multi-Site & Multi-RAN Connectivity with LTE with Wi-Fi & Other Networks Connectivity & User Centric Cell Access
4.1.13Control and User Plane Separation
4.1.14Network Slicing Slicing Network Slicing Network Slicing
4.1.15Service Based Architecture
4.1.16Network Security & Privacy Enhancements
4.2Complementary Technologies
4.2.1NFV & SDN
4.2.2Cloud Computing & Hyperscale Data Centers
4.2.3DevOps & Other IT Concepts
4.2.4Big Data & Analytics
4.2.5UDNs (Ultra Dense Networks) & HetNets
4.2.6RAN Centralization & Functional Splitting (Centralized RAN) Functional Split Options
4.2.7Cloud RAN
4.2.8MEC (Multi-Access Edge Computing)
4.2.9Wireline Fiber Infrastructure of 5G Rollouts on the Fiber Industry Tbps Data Rates Investment Trends of Other Wireline Technologies
4.2.10VLC (Visible Light Communication) & Li-Fi (Light Fidelity)
4.2.11Satellites, Drones & Balloons Integration for 5G Access & Transport Networking Orbit Satellites for Gigabit Speeds: Existing Investments & Balloons for Coverage Extension from Mobile Operators
5Chapter 5: 5G Investments & Future Forecast
5.1How Much is Being Invested in 5G R&D?
5.2R&D Investments by Technology
5.2.1New Air Interface & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
5.2.2MIMO, Beamforming & Advanced Antenna Technologies
5.2.3Spectrum Sharing, Aggregation & Interference Management
5.2.4Virtualization & Cloud RAN
5.2.5Network Slicing & Other Technologies
5.3Pre-Standards 5G Network Investments
5.3.1Segmentation by Submarket
5.3.2Base Stations
5.3.3User Equipment
5.3.4Transport Networking & Other Investments
5.4Global Outlook for Standardized 5G Infrastructure
5.4.1Segmentation by Submarket
5.4.25G NR Macrocell Base Stations Cells (Remote Radio Heads) BBUs (Baseband Units)
5.4.3NextGen Core Network
5.4.4Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking
5.4.5Segmentation by Region
5.5Global Outlook for Standardized 5G User Equipment
5.5.1Segmentation by Form Factor
5.5.4Embedded IoT Modules
5.5.5USB Dongles
5.5.7Segmentation by Region
5.6Global Outlook for 5G Operator Services
5.6.2Service Revenue
5.6.3Regional Segmentation
5.7Asia Pacific
5.7.2User Equipment
5.7.4Service Revenue
5.8Eastern Europe
5.8.2User Equipment
5.8.4Service Revenue
5.9Latin & Central America
5.9.2User Equipment
5.9.4Service Revenue
5.10Middle East & Africa
5.10.2User Equipment
5.10.4Service Revenue
5.11North America
5.11.2User Equipment
5.11.4Service Revenue
5.12Western Europe
5.12.2User Equipment
5.12.4Service Revenue
6Chapter 6: Mobile Operator Case Studies & Commitments
6.1.1Mobile Operator Case Studies Group Mobile (Deutsche Telekom) Corporation DoCoMo Telecomónica Communications Group
6.2Review of Mobile Operator 5G Commitments
6.2.1Asia Pacific Kong Korea
6.2.2Europe Kingdom Countries
6.2.3Latin & Central America
6.2.4Middle East & Africa Countries Arabia
6.2.5North America States
7Chapter 7: Spectrum for 5G Networks
7.1Potential Frequency Bands for 5G
7.1.1Sub-1 GHz Bands
7.1.21-6 GHz Bands GHz GHz GHz GHz
7.1.3Bands Above 6 GHz GHz GHz GHz (60-90 GHz) Bands
7.2Status of 5G Spectrum Allocation
7.3Asia Pacific
7.3.5South Korea
7.3.7Other Countries
7.4.1European Commission & CEPT Recommendations
7.4.2National Initiatives
7.5Latin & Central America
7.5.1CITEL Recommendations
7.5.2National Initiatives
7.6Middle East & Africa
7.6.1GCC Countries
7.6.2Africa & Other Countries
7.7North America
7.7.2United States
8Chapter 8: 5G Standardization, Development & Research Initiatives
8.13GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
8.1.1Phased Standardization Approach 1: Release 15 2: Release 16 to Address 5G Objectives in Earlier Releases
8.1.2Key Aspects of 5G Standardization NR Access Network for Other Access Networks System Architecture Modes: Non-Standalone vs. Standalone Operation
8.25G Americas
8.2.15G Advocacy Efforts
8.35GAA (5G Automotive Association)
8.3.1Advocacy for 5G & Cellular V2X Technology
8.3.2Other Alliances in the Automotive Sector
8.4Broadband Forum
8.4.1Broadband 20/20 Vision: Convergence of 5G Mobile & Fixed Networks
8.5.1Research on High Capacity Millimeter Wave Small Cells
8.5.2Other Work Relevant to 5G
8.6DSA (Dynamic Spectrum Alliance)
8.6.1Dynamic Spectrum Sharing for 5G
8.7ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
8.7.1ISGs (Industry Specification Groups) for 5G Enabling Technologies ISG (Millimeter Wave Transmission ISG) NFV (ISG for Network Functions Virtualization) OSM (Open Source Group for Open Source MANO) MEC (ISG for Multi Access Edge Computing) NGP (ISG for Next Generation Protocols) MBC (ISG for Mobile/Broadcast Convergence)
8.7.2Other Work
8.8.15G Program & Spectrum Policy
8.9.15G Innovation Program
8.10IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)
8.10.1IEEE Future Directions 5G Initiative
8.10.2Contribution to 5G Standards Development
8.11IETF (Internet Engineering Task Force)
8.11.1Contribution to 5G NextGen Core Standards (5G Aspects of Next Generation Internet Protocols) Special Group NMLRG (Network Machine Learning Research Group) on Network Slicing Work Relevant to 5G
8.12ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
8.12.1IMT-2020 Family of Standards
8.12.2WP 5D (Working Party 5D)
8.12.3FG IMT-2020 (Focus Group on IMT-2020)
8.12.4Spectrum Allocation
8.13NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
8.13.15G Work Program Building & Interaction to SDOs & the Wider Industry of Test & PoC Results
8.13.2New Work-Items Trial & Testing Initiative Architecture
8.14OCP (Open Compute Project) Foundation
8.14.1Telco Project
8.15ONF (Open Networking Foundation) & ON.Lab (Open Networking Lab)
8.15.1CORD (Central Office Re-Architected as a Datacenter)
8.15.2M-CORD (M-Central Office Re-Architected as a Datacenter)
8.16.15GWG (5G Working Group): Recommendations for 5G Security
8.17Small Cell Forum
8.17.1Mapping 5G Requirements for Small Cells
8.18TIP (Telecom Infra Project)
8.18.1OpenCellular Access Platform
8.18.2Open Optical Packet Transport
8.18.3Mobile Core Simplification
8.19TM Forum
8.19.15G Working Group
8.20Wi-Fi Alliance
8.20.1Positioning WiGig as a 5G Technology
8.20.2Other Work Relevant to 5G
8.21WBA (Wireless Broadband Alliance)
8.21.1Advocacy Efforts for 5G Convergence with Wi-Fi
8.22WinnForum (Wireless Innovation Forum)
8.22.1Spectrum Sharing Specifications for LTE & 5G Networks
8.23WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum)
8.23.1New WGs (Working Groups) for 5G High Frequency Technologies 5G e/m-Health and Wearables The Connected Car End-to-End Network Slicing
8.24xRAN Consortium
8.24.1Standardization for Software-Based RAN
8.25Other Collaborative & Standardization Organizations
8.26European Initiatives
8.26.15G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership) IA (5G Infrastructure Association) Working Groups Research Projects
8.26.2European Commission's 5G Roadmap 1: The Future of 5G Network Architecture 2: Demonstrations & Experiments 3: Integration of End-to-End 5G experimental network infrastructure
8.26.35G Manifesto
8.26.45G Action Plan
8.27National Initiatives
8.27.1United States (National Science Foundation) (National Institute of Standards and Technology) (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions) (Telecommunications Industry Association)
8.27.2South Korea Forum (Electronics and Telecommunications Research) (Telecommunications Technology Association of Korea)
8.27.3Japan (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses) (Telecommunication Technology Committee) (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum)
8.27.4China 5G Promotion Group (China Communications Standards Association) Research Program Mobile Communication Forum
8.27.5Taiwan (Industrial Technology Research Institute) (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards)
8.27.6Turkey (Information and Communication Technologies Authority) (Turkish 5G Forum)
8.27.7Malaysia (Malaysian Technical Standards Forum Bhd) 5G Committee
8.27.8Indonesia (Indonesia 5G Forum)
8.27.9India (Telecommunications Standards Development Society India) (Global ICT Standardization Forum for India)
8.28Mobile Operator Led Initiatives & Innovation Labs
8.28.1Pre-Standards Deployment Initiatives TSA (5G Open Trial Specification Alliance) (5G Technical Forum), Verizon Communications (Special Interest Group), KT Corporation (5G Development Forum), KT Corporation
8.28.2Innovation Labs Innovation Center, China Mobile, DT (Deutsche Telekom), Telefónica
8.29Academic & Research Institute Initiatives
8.29.15G Lab Germany at TU Dresden
8.29.25G Playground, Fraunhofer FOKUS
8.29.35GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey)
8.29.45GTNF (5G Test Network Finland), University of Oulu
8.29.5Hiroshima University
8.29.6NYU WIRELESS (New York University)
8.29.7OSA (OpenAirInterface Software Alliance), EURECOM
8.29.8Tokyo Institute of Technology
8.29.9UC Berkeley (University of California, Berkeley)
8.29.10USC (University of Southern California) Viterbi School of Engineering
8.29.11UT Austin (University of Texas at Austin)
8.29.12WINLAB (Wireless Information Network Laboratory), Rutgers University
9Chapter 9: Vendor Demonstrations, Commitments & Strategies
9.1.15G Strategy
9.1.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.2Cisco Systems
9.2.15G Strategy
9.2.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.3Cohere Technologies
9.3.15G Strategy
9.3.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.4.15G Strategy
9.4.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.5.15G Strategy
9.5.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.6.15G Strategy
9.6.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.7.15G Strategy
9.7.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.8Intel Corporation
9.8.15G Strategy
9.8.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.9.15G Strategy
9.9.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.10Juniper Networks
9.10.15G Strategy
9.10.2Demonstrations & Trial Commitments
9.11Keysight Technologies
9.11.15G Strategy
9.11.2Demonstrations & Tr

  • Pages: 363
  • Edition: 2017
  • Published Date: March 2017
  • Geography Coverd: Global
  • Publisher: SNS Research